Social Protection

TIME examines how policies and programmes can reduce poverty, vulnerability, and inequality while promoting economic resilience and well-being. Through rigorous impact evaluation and applied economic research, it studies the design, implementation, and effectiveness of social protection interventions, including cash transfers, social safety nets, livelihoods programmes, and measures aimed at strengthening human capital, gender equality, and inclusive development.

Testing Targeting Variants for Emergency Transfers in DRC

Researchers:

Felipe Alexander Dunsch, Andrea Guariso, Jonas Heirman, Marcus Holmlund, Kristen McCollum and Iva Trako

Partners:

World Food Programme, World Bank

Location: Congo DRC
Sample: 3,300 households located across 84 blocs in Congo DRC
Timeline: 2023 - 2024 
Theme: Welfare, Poverty
Description: Governments and international organizations around the globe implement specific targeting approaches to identify the beneficiaries of their programs. The choice of a specific targeting approach and its consequences on individuals and communities have been highly debated. In this study, realized in collaboration with the World Food Programme (WFP), we compare the relative effectiveness of two targeting approaches that aim to identify the households most in need of food aid in a fragile setting. The first approach is data-driven and represents the current status quo. The identification of beneficiaries rests on a standard proxy mean testing (PMT) approach, augmented with inputs from focus groups conducted across 3 communities that could highlight criteria that are particularly relevant to the study context (any criteria emerging from the focus group would then be applied across all target communities). The second, new, approach is instead fully community driven: a local community committee is set up within each target community and is exclusively in charge of identifying all and only criteria to be used to select beneficiaries within that community. The study is based on a cluster randomized trial (experimental) approach: 84 community “blocs” in DRC’s Tanganyika Province were randomly assigned to one of the two targeting variants. We will collect data from a representative sample of 40 households in each community to assess how the two approaches differ in terms of targeting (inclusion/exclusion errors), community satisfaction, social cohesion, and women empowerment.

 

(Digital) Cash Transfer, Privacy and Women's Empowerment

Researchers:

Munshi Sulaiman, Selim Gulesci, Giulia Greco and Pallavi Prabhakar

Partners:

BRAC

Location: Uganda
Sample: 2,000 refugee and host couples in Kiryandongo and Kyegegwa districts of Uganda
Timeline: 2021 - 2023 
Theme: Behaviour, Gender
Description:

This study aims to assess the role of delivery mechanisms (cash or mobile money) and of privacy of information for improving women’s economic empowerment and reducing Intimate Partner Violence. Evidence suggests that transfers given out as mobile money can generate greater impact on women’s economic empowerment and reduce Intimate Partner Violence (IPV) compared to cash. Moreover, privacy is often mentioned as a potential mechanism through which digital finance may lead to better outcomes for women. However, sparse evidence exists to experimentally test the differential impact of mobile money over cash transfers while assessing the role of privacy of information as a causal mechanism leading to women’s economic empowerment and reduced incidences of IPV.This study is amongst the first RCTs to experimentally test this hypothesis, targeting 2000 refugee and host couples in Kiryandongo and Kyegegwa districts (5 experimental groups) of Uganda. Women in all treatment groups will receive an unconditional transfer of UGX 200,000 as cash or mobile money. The study aims to explore the differences among the treatment groups in terms of women’s control over her personal and household finances, household decision making, marital trust, women’s agency, IPV and other economic outcomes including engagement in income earning activities. Findings of this study will contribute in shaping policies concerning delivery of social assistance and messaging surrounding the delivery, to achieve desired impacts on women's economic empowerment and IPV.

 

Researchers: Dr. Diana Milena Lopez Avila, Dr. Tara Bedi, Dr. Markus Goldstein, Prof. Michael King, Dr. Julia Vaillant
Partners: This research project is funded by the World Bank and has support from the Irish Research Council and the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 713279.
Location: Mauritania 
Sample: 2,000 households 
Timeline: 2020–2022
Theme: Gender Social Norms 
Description:
  • To meet its long-term poverty reduction goals, the Government of Mauritania decided to complement its traditional food-based response with targeted interventions to protect the chronically poor and invest in their human capital. Tekavoul (Solidarity in Arabic), a nation-wide social cash transfer program, aims to reach 100,000 extremely poor households by 2020 to protect them from severe deprivation and to support human capital investments. Beneficiaries will receive MRO 15,000 (USD 50) every three months for a period of five years, conditional on participation in social promotion activities addressing hygiene, nutrition, education, civil registration, and child development. Payments will be made to the person in charge of the daily health, nutrition and education of the children in the household, usually the first wife of the male household head or the female household head. 

    The Trinity Impact Evaluation Unit and the Africa Gender Innovation Lab at the World Bank will conduct a randomized control trial on the effects of adding to Tekavoul a) couples empowerment training and b) community interventions on female empowerment, spousal cohesion and ultimately, welfare outcomes. The objective of this research is to understand the impact of integrating interventions on gender social norms in anti-poverty programs on household welfare and gender empowerment. More specifically, it aims to test whether addressing gender social norms at the household- and community-level help maximize the benefits and minimize the risks of a cash transfer program. The research will collect and analyze data on women’s empowerment, intra-household cooperation, prevalence of intimate partner violence (IPV), and welfare outcomes. 

   

Researchers: Dr. Michael King, Dr. Tara Bedi and Dr. Julia Vaillant
Location: Malawi
Sample: 3,300 households in Mangochi and Nsanje
Timeline: 2017–2022
Theme: Gender equality and poverty
Description:
  • The Graduation Model is a 'big push' intervention designed to move people out of poverty by addressing the many challenges of extreme poverty by simultaneously boosting livelihoods and income and providing access to financial services. To-date, it represents the most promising intervention to tackle extreme poverty.

    While the global commitment to eradicate extreme poverty for all people everywhere by 2030 (SDG 1.1) is a much welcome step, the scale of the challenge remains daunting. We still have over 1.3 billion people living in extreme poverty. As women account for a large portion of the total poor, addressing gender barriers in tackling poverty is essential.

    Since 2017, Concern Malawi and Trinity Impact Evaluation (TIME) Unit at Trinity College Dublin are undertaking comprehensive research to estimate the impact of the graduation interventions on gender empowerment and ultimately household welfare as well as whether a gender component enhances the programme outcomes. The aim of this research is to better understand the barriers faced by women in escaping poverty. The three treatment arms are: 1) graduation targeted at females, 2) graduation targeted at males and 3) graduation targeted at females but with an additional couple's empowerment training called ‘Transforming Gender & Power Relations’.

    Each intervention arm was delivered to 600 households randomly selected in Mangochi and Nsanje, with 300 households in each district receiving each version of the proposed program. There were an additional 750 households in each district who acted as control households. The Graduation intervention in Malawi was a 20-month intense, multifaceted intervention but the research project was spread over five years to allow for the estimation of medium-term effects.

    In order to establish a causal relationship between our three treatment arms and our identified outcomes, this study uses a Randomized Control Trial (RCT). RCT provides a counterfactual, which represents what would have happened in the absence of the interventions, thus providing robust evidence for the efficacy of the intervention examined. To provide evidence into causal drivers of change in selected well being domains for selected households the project will contract BSDR Ltd to conduct a series of Qualitative Impact Protocol (QuIP) studies. These rely on analysis of narrative accounts of drivers change based on respondents’ self-reported attribution. An innovative feature of the QuIP is the use of double blindfolded or programme-neutral interviewing to mitigate confirmation bias.

    Between 2017 and 2022, the research followed these households through the implementation of the Graduation programme. All households in this research study were visited at the completion of the Graduation Program and one year after. The results from the research contribute to on-going discussions on Social Protection in Malawi, while at a global level this is the first study in the world to examine the gender dynamics of the graduation model. The results therefore inform a variety of approaches, including those on cash transfers, the graduation process, and approaches to addressing inequality.

    The research team is led by the Trinity Impact Evaluation (TIME) research unit and is conducted in partnership with Concern Worldwide. It is supported by researchers from the Gender Innovation Lab at the World Bank. The research team comprises Dr. King, Dr. Ramos Moreno and Dr. Bedi (from the Department of Economics, Trinity College Dublin), along with Dr. Goldstein and Dr. Valliant (from the Gender Impact Evaluation team at the World Bank). This research project is funded by Concern Worldwide, and has support from Irish Aid, the Irish Research Council and the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 713279.