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The Doha Development Agenda: Mixed Prospects for Developing Countries

Alan Matthews and Keith Walsh

  • IIIS Discussion Paper No. 157
    This paper uses the GTAP computable general equilibrium model to
    assess the impact of a Doha Development Agenda agreement on agricultural trade liberalisation. In particular, we examine the consequences for developing countries. The simulation incorporates further liberalisation in the areas ofmarket access, export competition and domestic support. Most developing regions can expect strong positive results from this liberalisation, however some suffer a decrease in welfare. The magnitude of the welfare effect for these countries depends on measures to be taken by developing countries themselves, and whether they will materialise must be uncertain. The results highlight the importance of the impact of further liberalisation of the erosion of preferential trading arrangements enjoyed by developing regions. Keywords. Agricultural trade liberalisation, GTAP, developing countries
    JEL classification: F13, Q17, Q18

Last updated 28 August 2014 by IIIS (Email).