Economics

Contact Us Department of Economics
Room 3014
Arts Building
Trinity College
Dublin 2
Ireland

View the contact page for more contact and location information

economics@tcd.ie
Dr. Vitaliia Yaremko

Dr. Vitaliia Yaremko

Assistant Professor, Economics

3531896 1043https://sites.google.com/view/vyaremko

Biography

Vitaliia Yaremko is an Assistant Professor in Economics at Trinity College Dublin, Director of the International Macro-TCD (IM-TCD) research unit, and a Research Associate of the Centre for Economics, Policy and History (CEPH). She obtained her Ph.D. in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley, in 2023. She holds a Master of Arts degree in Economic Analysis from the Kyiv School of Economics. Her research encompasses topics in macroeconomics, comparative economics, and economic history. Her work in macroeconomics focuses on designing and testing interventions using randomized controlled trials to study the effects of macroeconomic expectations of households and firms on their decisions, contributing to academic and policy debates on the role of expectations in macroeconomic dynamics. In comparative economics and economic history, her work focuses on the role of socialist institutions and policies in shaping individual and aggregate outcomes. She has published in the Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking and Comparative Economic Studies and co-organised several international conferences and workshops.

Publications and Further Research Outputs

  • Vitaliia Yaremko, Intra-household Time Allocation: Evidence from the Post-socialist Countries, Comparative Economic Studies, 66, 2024, p684 - 716Journal Article, 2024, DOI
  • Ethan McClure, Vitaliia Yaremko, Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 57, (4), 2025, p683 - 716Journal Article, 2025, DOI
  • Vitaliia Yaremko, The Long-Term Consequences of Blacklisting: Evidence From the Ukrainian Famine of 1932-33, 2022Working Paper, URL
  • Baek, ChaeWon, and Vitaliia Yaremko, The Puzzle of a Missing Wage-Price Sprial: Experimental Evidence on Inflation Expectations and Labor Supply, 2026Working Paper, URL
  • Onyshchenko, Hanna, Tsapin, Andriy, and Yaremko, Vitaliia, Firm Performance Under Military Occupation: The case of Ukrainian Firms, 2025Working Paper

Research Expertise

I am an applied economist working at the intersection of macroeconomics, comparative economics, and economic history, studying how institutions, policies, and macroeconomic forces shape individual behaviour and aggregate economic outcomes across historical and contemporary contexts. I utilise novel datasets and rigorous methods to pursue two main lines of inquiry. The first strand of my research examines how the macroeconomic expectations of households and firms influence economic decisions. Using randomized controlled trials and survey-based experiments, I study how individuals form expectations and how these beliefs affect price-setting, hiring, wage bargaining, and labour supply choices. My work published in the Journal of Money, Credit and Banking demonstrates that the expectation formation process of low- and middle-level managers differs systematically from conventional models, with measurable implications for firm behaviour. In ongoing research, I provide experimental evidence that workers adjust their wage demands and labour supply in response to inflation expectations, offering new insights into the micro-foundations of wage-price dynamics and the conditions under which wage-price spirals may or may not emerge. Related projects examine how inflation affects other labour supply margins, such as work effort and labour market participation. A second strand of my research investigates the long-run effects of institutions and socialist policies, with a particular focus on Eastern Europe and Ukraine in the twentieth century. This work studies how institutional regimes shape economic culture, social norms, and individual behaviour, and how these effects persist across political and economic transitions. My publication in Comparative Economic Studies documents the persistence of socialist-era "double shifts" among women in post-socialist countries. Ongoing projects examine the historical roots of market culture and entrepreneurial activity, as well as the long-run consequences of institutional shocks for economic development. In related work, I study the economic consequences of Russia"s ongoing invasion of Ukraine, with a focus on the effects of war-related shocks on firm performance. Across projects, I use rigorous methods to overcome data constraints, including designing my own surveys and randomized controlled trials, quasi-experimental designs, large-scale geocoding and spatial matching of administrative, climate, and satellite data, as well as digitization of historical records.

Macroeconomics (incl. monetary and fiscal theory), Labour economics, Economic history, Experimental economics, Comparative economic systems,

Recognition

  • Departmental Fellowship (UC Berkeley, Department of Economics) 2017-2022
  • Best MA Thesis Award (Kyiv School of Economics) 2016
  • Arts and Social Sciences Benefaction Fund, Trinity College Dublin 2024-2026
  • Outstanding Graduate Student Instructor Award (UC Berkeley) 2022
  • Research grant from All-UC Group in Economic History 2021
  • Association for Comparative Economic Studies Dissertation Fellowship 2022-2023
  • Referee for the American Economic Review, Journal of Comparative Economics, Comparative Economic Studies, Nature, Portuguese Economic Journal, Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine
  • Guest Editor, Economic Modelling September 2025-August 2026