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Conference Programme

Phenology 2010

Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations

The conference presentations will be held in the Hamilton Building, Trinity College, Dublin.

Plenary speakers

Dr. Josep Penuelas, Center for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain

Dr. Stephen Thackeray, The Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Lancaster, UK

Dr. Stephanie Jenouvrier, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, MA, USA

Dr. Anne Charmantier, Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, Montpellier, France

Elisabeth Beaubien, Department of Renewable Resources, University of Alberta, Canada

Conference welcome and introduction speakers

Dr. Alison Donnelly, Phenology 2010 conference co-organiser

Professor Patrick Prendergast, Vice-Provost/Chief Academic Officer

Professor Patrick Cunningham, Chief Scientific Adviser to the Government

Professor Mark Schwartz, Secretary of the International Society of Biometeorology (ISB) and Chair of the ISB Phenology Commission

Dr. Frank McGovern, Head of Climate Research, Environmental Protection Agency

Book of Abstracts

Phenology 2010
Climate change impacts and adaptations
Monday 14 June - Afternoon session
14.00
Welcome, introduction and announcements
14.30
Plenary Session: Phenology in local, regional and global ecology
Josep Peñuelas, Center for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain
Room 1 – Joly Theatre
Room 2 - Maxwell Theatre
Forest phenology and climate change
Pollen phenology and climate change
Chair: Ola Langvall and Kjell Bolmgren
Chair: Arnold van Vliet and Helfried Scheifinger
15.15 Origins of the word “phenology” – from periodical observations to anthochronology and phenology – a scientific debate between Adolphe Quetelet and Charles Morren - Gaston R. Demaree, Royal Meteorological Institute, Belgium. A pollen planner to help assist hay fever patients to adapt to phenological changes – Arnold J. H. van Vliet, Environmental Systems Analysis Group, Wageningen University, The Netherlands.
15.35 High-resolution phenological observations in a northern mixed forest – Mark Schwartz, Int. Society of Biometeorology/UW-Milwaukee, USA  An operational phenological model for numerical pollen prediction – Helfried Scheifinger, ZAMG, Austria
16.10 Finnish National Phenological Network – Eero Kubin, Finnish Forest Research Institute, Finland Birch pollen concentration in Latvia and its relationship with meteorological parameters (2003-2009) – Olga Ritenberga, Dept. of Geography and Earth Sciences, University of Latvia, Latvia
16.30 Long term phenological trends of some forest woody plants as an indicator of climate change in the W – Bernard Siska, Slovak University of Agriculture, Slovakia Use of satellite data in near real-time monitoring of the birch flowering in Norway - Stein Rune Karlsen, Northern Research Institute Tromsø (Norut), Norway
16.50 Asynchronous response of rainforest and tropical dry forest leaf phenology to seasonal and El Niño-driven drought – Stephanie Pau, NCEAS, USA Potential impacts of climate variables on the pollen season of birch (Betula spp.) and related species in Ireland - Hazel Proctor, Dept. of Botany, Trinity College, Ireland
17.10 Betula pubescens at international phenological gardens in the Czech Republic – Lenka Hájková, Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Czech Republic Wind pollination and its influence on climate change responses – Chiara Ziello, Technische Universitaet Muenchen, Germany
17.30 BACCHUS historical phenological and early temperature records from Eastern Austria, Burgundy and the Swiss Plateau - Elisabeth Koch, Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik, Austria The first box of cherries - Marie Russell Keatley, University of Melbourne, Australia 
Phenology 2010
Climate change impacts and adaptations
Tuesday 15 June - Morning session
9.15
Welcome, introduction and announcements
9.20
Stephan Thackeray, The Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Lancaster, UK
Room 1 – Joly Theatre
Room 2 - Maxwell Theatre
Remote sensing
Bird phenology, modelliing and climate change
Chair: Andrew Richardson and Pieter S. A. Beck
Chair: Lynda Chambers and Carles Barriocanal
10.05 Monitoring and assessing phenology in the context of global change across scales and sensors – Jesslyn Brown, U.S. Geological Survey, USA The influence of climate on Australian migration and breeding phenology – Lynda Chambers, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Australia
10.25 Remote sensing of landscape phenology to map global vegetation productivity and its links with animal migrations – Pieter S. A. Beck, Woods Hole Research Center, USA Wind flow influences on the captures of Wood Warbler (Phylloscopus sibilatrix) an uncommon migratory species on western Mediterranean – Carles Barriocanal, Dept. of Geography, University of Girona, Spain
10.45 Monitoring vegetation phenology at scales from individual plants to whole canopies, and from regions to continents: insights from the PhenoCam network – Andrew Richardson, Harvard University, USA Changing climate and the phenological response of three bird populations in flood plain forest ecosystems in the Czech Republic – Lenka Bartosova, Institute of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University, Czech Republic
11.25 Alpine grassland phenology: a multi-source data perspective – Edoardo Cremonese, ARPA, Italy Optimal timing of reproduction – Marjolein E. Lof, Dept. of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, The Netherlands
11.45 The Phenology and Vegetation Earth Observation Service (PHAVEOS) – Thomas Lankester, Infoterra, Ltd., UK To make the most of what we have: extracting phenology data from standard measures of chicks – Anna L. K. Nilsson, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, Dept. of Biology, University of Oslo, Norway
12.05 Satellite-derived land surface phenology product inter-comparison: toward an integrated validation approach – Joanne Nightingale, Sigma Space Corporation/NASA Goddard Flight Center, USA Assessing the effects of climate change on tree phenology of European temperate trees species along altitudinal gradients – Yann Vitasse, Institute of Botany, University of Basel, Switzerland
12.25 Spatio-temporal trends in season timing across the island of Ireland according to landcover type – Brian O’Connor, Coastal and Marine Resources Centre (CMRC), UCC, Ireland Future climatic conditions and their impact on viticulture in the Upper Moselle region – Steffi Urhausen, Meteorological Institute, University of Bonn, Germany
12.45 Monitoring vegetation phenology with the MODIS daily direct broadcast reflectance anisotropy algorithem – Crystal Schaaf, Boston University, USA Reconstruction of the maize phenology in Croatia – Višnja Vučetić, Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia
Phenology 2010
Climate change impacts and adaptations
Tuesday 15 June - Afternoon session
14.10
Plenary Session: Seabird population responses to climate change: linking demographic to climate models
Stephanie Jenouvrier, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, MA, USA
Room 1 – Joly Theatre
Room 2 - Maxwell Theatre
Modelling
Biodiversity, conservation, interactions, citizen science and climate change
Chair: Amelia Caffarra and Emanuele Eccel Chair: Elizabeth Wolkovich and Patricia Morellato
14.55 Modelling plant phenology in a warming climate – Amelia Caffarra, IASMA Research and Innovation Centre, Italy  A 250-year index of first flowering dates and its response to temperature changes – Tatsuya Amano, National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, Japan
15.15 Impacts of climate change on the phenological timing of Vitis vinifera in an alpine region – Emanuele Eccel, Fondazione Edmund Mach, Italy Phenology of Atlantic rain forest trees: climate, ecology and phylogeny – Patricia Morellato, UNESP, Brazil
16.00 Modelling blanket and raised bog habitat distribution in Ireland – projections of future climate suitability under a changing climate – John Coll, Dept. of Geography, NUI Maynooth, Ireland The phenology of plant invasions: how temporal niches and priority effects assemble plant communities – Elizabeth Wolkovich, National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, USA
16.20 The impact of climate change on the spatial distribution of Ireland’s biodiversity – predicting changes and informing adaptation measures – David Bourke, Applied Ecology Unit, Centre for Environmental Science, NUI Galway, Ireland Warming, crop phenology and the demography of wildlife – Toke T. Høye, Dept. of Wildlife Ecology and Management, Denmark
16.40 Methodological approach for the study of the effects of climate change on rainfall in Ireland – Pablo Fernández de Arróyabe Heráez, Universidad de Cantabria, Spain Do only birds have a problem? – Arnold J. H. van Vliet, Environmental Systems Analysis Group, Wageningen University, The Netherlands
17.00 Data visualisation and mapping methods to assess synchrony: application to historical Eucalypt flowering records – Irene L. Hudson, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of South Australia, Australia Spring flowering response to climate change over 70 years in central Alberta, Canada – Elisabeth Beaubien, Dept. of Renewable Resources, University of Alberta, Canada
17.20 Determine the vegetation period and regional trends in Germany – Wolfgang Janssen, German Weather Service, Germany  Greenwave - Fiona Connelly, St. Agnes Primary School, Ireland
17.40 Plant phenology as indicator for Swedish goals of reduced climate impact on the environment – Ola Langvall, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Sweden Plant phenological variation in Norway during 50 years related to temperature – Frans Emil Wielgolaski, Dept. of Biology, University of Oslo, Norway
Phenology 2010
Climate change impacts and adaptations
Wednesday 16 June - Morning session
9.20
Plenary Session:Birds and climate change – individual and population responses
Anne Charmantier, Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, Montpellier, France
Room 1 – Joly Theatre
Room 2 - Maxwell Theatre
Remote sensing and climate change
Phenotypic plasticity, genetic adaptations and climate change
Chair: Andrew Richardson and Mark Schwartz Chair: Guillaume Charrier and Jonathan Friedman
10.05 Satellite-based mapping of the growing season in mainland Norway and on Svalbard – Stein Rune Karlsen, Northern Research Institute Tromsø (Norut), Norway Photoperiodic control of spring flush of native forest trees at rising spring temperatures – David Basler, Institute of Botany/University of Basel, Switzerland
10.25 The generation of time series vegetative NDVI trajectory and long-term phenological trends from AVHR data – Xiaoyang Zhang, ERT at NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, USA Dormancy and frost resistance dynamics for contrasted budburst dates in walnut trees – Guillaume Charrier, INRA/UBP, France
10.45 Senescent trajectories in the 2008 Wed-Enabled Landsat Data (WELD) composites for CONUS – Geoffrey Henebry, Geographic Information Science Center of Excellence, USA Inherited latitudinal variation in phenology of native and introduced riparian trees – Jonathan Friedman, United States Geological Survey, USA
11.25 Validation of phenological variables estimated from Envisat MERIS data over continental USA – Jadunandan Dash, School of Geography, University of Southampton, UK Investigating temperature-related genotypic and phenotypic variation in European aspen (Populus tremula L.) - Annelies Pletsers, Dept. of Botany, Trinity College, Ireland
11.45 Vegetation phenology metrics derived from AMSR-E microwave vegetation optical depth – Matthew O. Jones, The University of Montana Flathead Lake Biological Station, USA  Rubus spp. phenology in Ireland in response to climate warming: an exploration using herbarium specimens - Eileen Diskin, Dept. of Botany, Trinity College, Ireland
12.05 Impacts of extreme temperatures on urban-rural phenology – Susanne Jochner, Technical University Munich, Germany The Swiss Spring Index as a novel integral metric for spring phenology - Thomas Herren, MeteoSwiss, Switzerland
12.25 An advance in flowering in the last ten years – Marie Russell Keatley, University of Melbourne, Australia Phenology in Italy – Giovanni Dal Monte, CRA-CMA, Italy
12.45 Temperature and rainfall as drivers of flowering phenology in South Australian Diuris (Donkey orchi) – Fran MacGillivray, University of Adelaide, Australia Analysis of the relationships between climate and grapevine phenology in Europe – Simone Orlandini, Dept. of Plant, Soil and Environmental Science, University of Florence, Italy
Phenology 2010
Climate change impacts and adaptations
Wednesday 16 June - Afternoon session
14.10
Plenary Session: Canada Plantwatch: engaging citizens as ‘eyes of science’
Elisabeth Beaubien, Department of Renewable Resources, University of Alberta, Canada
Room 1 – Joly Theatre
Room 2 - Maxwell Theatre
Citizen Science
Climate Change
Chair: Marie Russell Keatley and Alison Donnelly
Chair: Mark Schwartz and Tim Sparks
14.55 Could scientific research be improved by applying WEB 2.0 tools as citizen science does? – Luciano Massetti, Institute of Biometeorology, Italy Extreme event ecology (E3): Long-term changes in phenological extremes over six decades in Germany – Annette Menzel, Technische Universität München, Germany
15.15 ClimateWatch – Australia’s National Phenological Network – Rich Weatherill, Earthwatch Institute (Australia), Australia The Group on Earth Observations and global phenology data - Bradley Reed, Group on Earth Observations (GEO), Switzerland
16.00 Taking the pulse of our planet: the USA National Phenology Network – Jake Weltzin, USA National Phenology Network, USA Phenological monitoring along an altitudinal gradient in Berchtesgaden National Park, Germany – Christine Cornelius, Chair of Ecoclimatology, Technische Universität Mü, Germany
16.20 Citizens as sensors – how can phenology benefit from volunteered geographic information? – Peter Mooney, Environmental Protection Agency, Ireland The effect of climate on the phenology of wheat in Iran – Elham Rahmani, Meteorological Institute, University of Bonn, Germany
16.40 Multiple applications of phenolgical data - Alison Donnelly, Dept. of Botany and Centre for the Environment, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland Autumn – Cinderella phenology? – Tim Sparks, Institute of Zoology, Poznań University of Life Sciences, Poland
Posters
Section Title, Name and Affiliation
Birds The ornithophenologic time series dependence of climate variables in Snepele (Latvia) from 1947-2007 - Marcis Tirums, University of Latvia, Latvia
Citizen Science A new approach to generating research-quality phenology data: The USA National Phenology Monitoring - Ellen Denny, USA National Phenology Network, USA
Nature Watch: The Irish National Phenology Network’s new citizen science website - Bridget O'Neill, Dept. of Botany, Trinity College, Ireland
Redmap: Citizen science as a tool for monitoring ecological change and promoting awareness of climate change in the marine environment - Gretta Pecl, University of Tasmania, Australia
Climate Change Growth and development responses of Mediterranean shrublands to a climate change – manipulation experiment - Carla Cesaraccio, CNR - IBIMET, Italy
Phenology in the Western Alps: the PhenoALP project - Edoardo Cremonese, ARPA Valle d'Aosta, Italy
 
HoneyBeeNet:  Relating Trends In Satellite Phenology to Shifting Plant-Pollinator Activity - Wayne Esaias, NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, USA
A Comparison of Spring Phenology and Meteorological Parameters - Emily Gleeson, Met Eireann, Ireland
Temporal and spatial variability of phenophase onset of the early flowering tree Alnus glutinosa (L.) Gaert. in the Czech and Slovak republic - Lenka Hájková, Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Czech Republic
Changes in the phenophase onset of the early flowering tree Corylus avellana L. in the Czech and Slovak republic - Lenka Hájková, Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Czech Republic
PEP725 Pan European Phenological Database - E. Koch, Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik, Austria
Phenostages among shrub and tree species along elevational thermal gradients of the Gaspé peninsula, North-East America - Véronique Parent Lacharité, Département de biologie, chimie et géographie, Université du Québec à Rimouski, Canada
Effect of climatic warming on the flight periods of Irish moth species - Bridget O'Neill, Dept. of Botany, Trinity College, Ireland
Impacts of Climate change and Variability on European Agriculture - Simone Orlandini, University of Florence, Italy
Influence of climate change on the onset and length of phenological seasons in Lithuania and Latvia - Danuta Romanovskaja, Lithuanian Research Centre for Agriculture and Forest, Lithuania
The comparison of temporal and spatial changes of the flowering phenological characteristics of wild plants in Eastern part of Europe - Barbara Szabó, Dept. of Plant Taxonomy and Ecology, Eötvös Loránd University, Hungary
Forests Budburst 1994–2010 in a very small Irish network - Thomas Cummins, University College Dublin, Ireland
Climate signal in Irish tree-ring chronologies - Ana Garcia-Suarez, Armagh Observatory, Northern Ireland, UK
Forests  
Comparing intra-annual wood formation process and leaf phenology in European Larch - Emiliano Pari, Università di Torino, Italy
Phenology of flowering and fruit set of Eugenia involucrata DC. (Myrtaceae) in areas of araucaria forest, in the biome Atlanic forest in Brazil - Gizelda Maia Rego, Embrapa Forest, Brazil
Monitoring of vegetative (plastochron) and reproductive phenology of Pinheiro-do-Paraná (Araucaria angustifolia), in areas of the Atlantic Forest, in Brazil - Gizelda Maia Rego, Embrapa Forest, Brazil
Phenology vegetative of imbuia (Ocotea porosa) in their natural habitat: araucaria forest in Brazil - Gizelda Maia Rego, Embrapa Forest, Brazil
Vegetative and reproductive phenology of red-pepper (Schinus terebinthifolius) in areas of araucaria forest, in Brazil - Gizelda Maia Rego, Embrapa Forest, Brazil
Monitoring of reproductive phenology of Erythrina falcata (Benth) (Leguminoseae) in areas of araucaria forest, in southern Brazil - Gizelda Maia Rego, Embrapa Forest, Brazil
Monitoring of reproductive phenology of imbuia (Ocotea porosa), in the biome atlantic forest, in southern Brazil - Gizelda Maia Rego, Embrapa Forest, Brazil
Phenological study of flowering time in alien and native Irish ash (Fraxinus) reveals potential for hybridisation and introgression - M. Thomasset, Dept. of Botany, Trinity College, Ireland
Modelling Using capture-recapture (CR) modeling to estimate changes in phenology - Luis Cadahía, Dept. of Biology, University of Oslo, Norway
Predicting budburst in early- and late flushing tree species with four different modeling approaches - Yongshuo Fu, Universiteit Antwerpen, Belgium
A game theoretical approach to understand phenological responses to climate change across trophic levels - Jacob Johansson, Lund University, Sweden
Finite-mixture modelling for assessing changes in bird migration phenology - Endre Knudsen, Dept. of Biology, University of Oslo, Norway
Chilling units as a parameter of phenological development - Pavol Nejedlik, Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Slovakia
Interpolation of phenological phases on a digital elevation model (DEM) - Thomas Clemans Schöngaßner, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Austria
Pollen Trend analysis of long flowering date series in Oleaceae, Graminaceae and Pinaceae growing in Northern Sardinia, Italy - Grazia Pellizzaro, Institute of Biometeorology, Italy
Investigating Ambrosia pollen episodes in Poland using back-trajectory analysis - M. Smith, University of Worcester, UK
Remote Sensing Satellite monitoring of inter-annual variability of alpine grassland and larch phenology and its relationship with climatic drivers in two regions of the Italian Alps - Francesco Fava, University of Milan, Italy
Enhanced Global Vegetation Phenology Monitoring Using Microwave and Optical-Infrared Satellite Remote Sensing - Matthew O. Jones, University of Montana, USA
Setting up a photomonitoring of phenophases in Latvia - Gunta Kalvāne, University of Latvia, Latvia
Remote Sensing Satellite Based Detection of Recent Climate-Driven Changes in Vegetation Growing Seasons and Productivity for the Pan-Arctic - John S. Kimball, University of Montana, USA
Microwave Remote Sensing of Vegetation Phenology: Assessment of Satellite Measurements with Radiative Transfer Modeling - Kyle McDonald, California Institute of Technology, USA
The optimal colour index for the phenological recording of leaf canopies - Toshie Mizunuma, University of Edinburgh, UK
Ecological examination of the phenology detection technique by using continuous digital camera images in a deciduous broad-leaved forest, Japan - Shin Nagai, Research Institute for Global Change, Japan
Characterizing seasonal dynamics and inter-annual variability of different vegetation types in Central Africa - Astrid Verhegghen, Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium

 


Last updated 26 July 2010 by phen2010@tcd.ie.